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Adjusted Win Loss Records:

Why adjust wins and losses? What if your team is tied in the standings after 20 games with another team at identical 13-7 records? Who is the "better" team? What if your team played a more difficult schedule. By this, we mean that there are a) more road games and b) more games against better teams. Here is how we adjust the win/loss percentage.

We weight every win and loss. Let's say you play a team at HOME and win. If that team has a road winning percent of .510 then your win is weighted by that value. If that team has a road winning percent of .167 then your win is worth less and is weighted by that lower value. Same thing goes for the road: If your team wins in a place where the opponent wins .800 then your team gets rewarded using that higher weight. Also, if your team wins on the road against a subpar team (let's say .450 at home for them) then your team is reward less.

 Last Updated: FRI JAN 29 2010 - AM

4 Sections: Broken Down as Follows:
Eastern Conference - Adjusted W-L % See how the Eastern Conference breaks down with adjusted wins and losses.
Western Conference - Adjusted W-L % See how the Western Conference breaks down with adjusted wins and losses.
Divisonal Standings - Adjusted W-L % See how each division breaks down with adjusted wins and losses.
Largest Change from Real to Adjusted All NBA teams sorted by percent change from real to adjusted, w/commentary.

EASTERN CONFERENCE: Sorted by Adjusted Win-Loss Percentage

 What does this sort result mean?
This could be the best way to rank the Eastern Conference teams to date. Sorted by Weighted W-L %

 
   EAST	 		-------  ADJUSTED  -------- 	 	-----  REAL  ------	Change
#	Team	GP	W	L	 PCT	 GB 	 	W	L	 PCT	in Wins	
-	---- 	--	--	--	 ---	 --	 	--	--	 ---	------	

1	CLE	47	37.3	9.7	.794			36	11	.766	+ 1.3 
2	ATL	44	30.8	13.2	.699	 5.1		29	15	.659	+ 1.8 
3	ORL	46	31.7	14.3	.689	 5.1		30	16	.652	+ 1.7 
4	BOS	43	28.4	14.6	.661	 6.9		29	14	.674	- 0.6 
5	TOR	47	27.2	19.8	.579	 10.1		25	22	.532	+ 2.2 
6	MIA	45	24.5	20.5	.543	 11.9		23	22	.511	+ 1.5 
7	CHI	44	22.6	21.4	.513	 13.2		22	22	.500	+ 0.6 
8	CHA	44	21.7	22.3	.494	 14.1		22	22	.500	- 0.3 
9	MIL	44	17.5	26.5	.398	 18.3		19	25	.432	- 1.5 
10	NYK	45	15.9	29.1	.354	 20.4		18	27	.400	- 2.1 
11	DET	44	14.6	29.4	.332	 21.2		15	29	.341	- 0.4 
12	WAS	44	13.2	30.8	.301	 22.6		14	30	.318	- 0.8 
13	PHI	45	13.1	31.9	.292	 23.2		15	30	.333	- 1.9 
14	IND	46	12.6	33.4	.274	 24.2		16	30	.348	- 3.4 
15	NJN	44	3.4	40.6	.077	 32.5		4	40	.091	- 0.6

WESTERN CONFERENCE: Sorted by Adjusted Win-Loss Percentage

 What does this sort result mean?
This could be the best way to rank the Western Conference teams to date. Sorted by Weighted W-L %.

 
   WEST	 		-------  ADJUSTED  -------- 	 	-----  REAL  ------	Change						
#	Team	GP	W	L	 PCT	 GB 	 	W	L	 PCT	in Wins	
-	---- 	--	--	--	 ---	 --	 	--	--	 ---	------	
1	LAL	46	37.2	8.8	.809			35	11	.761	+ 2.2 
2	DEN	45	31.2	13.8	.693	 5.5		31	14	.689	+ 0.2 
3	DAL	46	31.1	14.9	.677	 6.1		30	16	.652	+ 1.1 
4	UTA	45	27.3	17.7	.607	 9.4		27	18	.600	+ 0.3 
5	MEM	44	26.1	17.9	.594	 10.1		25	19	.568	+ 1.1 
6	HOU	45	26.7	18.3	.593	 10.0		24	21	.533	+ 2.7 
7	PHX	48	28.2	19.8	.586	 10.1		27	21	.563	+ 1.2 
8	SAS	44	25.7	18.3	.583	 10.6		26	18	.591	- 0.3 
9	OKC	45	25.8	19.2	.573	 10.9		24	21	.533	+ 1.8 
10	POR	47	26.1	20.9	.556	 11.6		27	20	.574	- 0.9 
11	NOK	45	24.4	20.6	.541	 12.3		25	20	.556	- 0.6 
12	LAC	45	19.4	25.6	.432	 17.3		20	25	.444	- 0.6 
13	SAC	44	15.4	28.6	.350	 20.8		16	28	.364	- 0.6 
14	GSW	44	11.1	32.9	.253	 25.1		13	31	.295	- 1.9 
15	MIN	47	7.8	39.2	.167	 29.9		9	38	.191	- 1.2

Divisional Standings: Sorted by Adjusted Win-Loss Percentage

 What does this sort result mean?
This could be the best way to rank the Divisions to date. Sorted by Weighted W-L %.

 

EASTERN CONFERENCE   									
Atlantic	------- ADJUSTED  --------	-----  REAL  -----	Change						
#	Team	W	L	PCT	GB	W	L	PCT	in Wins
-	---- 	--	--	 ---	---	---	---	----	 ----
1	BOS	28.4	14.6	.661		29	14	.674	-0.57
2	TOR	27.2	19.8	.579	3.2	25	22	.532	+2.21 
3	NYK	15.9	29.1	.354	13.5	18	27	.400	-2.08
4	PHI	13.1	31.9	.292	16.3	15	30	.333	-1.88
5	NJN	3.4	40.6	.077	25.6	4	40	.091	-0.62
									
Central		------- ADJUSTED  --------	-----  REAL  -----	Change					
#	Team	W	L	PCT	GB	W	L	PCT	in Wins
-	---- 	--	--	 ---	---	---	---	----	 ----
1	CLE	37.3	9.7	.794		36	11	.766	+1.33 
2	CHI	22.6	21.4	.513	13.2	22	22	.500	+0.59 
3	MIL	17.5	26.5	.398	18.3	19	25	.432	-1.50
4	DET	14.6	29.4	.332	21.2	15	29	.341	-0.41
5	IND	12.6	33.4	.274	24.2	16	30	.348	-3.42
									
SouthEast	------- ADJUSTED  --------	-----  REAL  -----	Change						
#	Team	W	L	PCT	GB	W	L	PCT	in Wins
-	---- 	--	--	 ---	---	---	---	----	 ----
1	ATL	30.8	13.2	.699		29	15	.659	+1.76 
2	ORL	31.7	14.3	.689	0.1	30	16	.652	+1.69 
3	MIA	24.5	20.5	.543	6.8	23	22	.511	+1.46 
4	CHA	21.7	22.3	.494	9.0	22	22	.500	-0.26
5	WAS	13.2	30.8	.301	17.5	14	30	.318	-0.77
									
WESTERN CONFERENCE  									
NorthWest	------- ADJUSTED  --------	-----  REAL  -----	Change						
#	Team	W	L	PCT	GB	W	L	PCT	in Wins
-	---- 	--	--	 ---	---	---	---	----	 ----
1	DEN	31.2	13.8	.693		31	14	.689	+0.20 
2	UTA	27.3	17.7	.607	3.9	27	18	.600	+0.33 
3	OKC	25.8	19.2	.573	5.4	24	21	.533	+1.77 
4	POR	26.1	20.9	.556	6.1	27	20	.574	-0.87
5	MIN	7.8	39.2	.167	24.4	9	38	.191	-1.16
									
Pacific		------- ADJUSTED  --------	-----  REAL  -----	Change					
#	Team	W	L	PCT	GB	W	L	PCT	in Wins
-	---- 	--	--	 ---	---	---	---	----	 ----
1	LAL	37.2	8.8	.809		35	11	.761	+2.21 
2	PHX	28.2	19.8	.586	10.1	27	21	.563	+1.15 
3	LAC	19.4	25.6	.432	17.3	20	25	.444	-0.55
4	SAC	15.4	28.6	.350	20.8	16	28	.364	-0.59
5	GSW	11.1	32.9	.253	25.1	13	31	.295	-1.89
 									
SouthWest	------- ADJUSTED  --------	-----  REAL  -----	Change						
#	Team	W	L	PCT	GB	W	L	PCT	in Wins
-	---- 	--	--	 ---	---	---	---	----	 ----
1	DAL	31.1	14.9	.677		30	16	.652	+1.13 
2	MEM	26.1	17.9	.594	4.0	25	19	.568	+1.14 
3	HOU	26.7	18.3	.593	4.0	24	21	.533	+2.67 
4	SAS	25.7	18.3	.583	4.5	26	18	.591	-0.35
5	NOK	24.4	20.6	.541	6.3	25	20	.556	-0.64

Sorted by Percent Change from actual W-L PCT

 What does this sort result mean?
(sorted on last column)
If an average team (record wise) is near the top, they should make a run for the playoffs
If an average team is in the middle or near the bottom, do not expect to see them in the playoffs
If a good team (record wise)is near the top, they are locked in for playoffs, and could even rise higher in standings
If a good team is in the middle, expect them to remain where they are for the rest of the season
If a good team is near the bottom, they may still make playoffs but expect a drop in the standings
If a bad team (record wise)is near the top, expect them to challenge for that final playoff spot
If a bad team is in the middle or near the bottom, expect their record to drop even further

 
	 	-----  REAL  -----	 ---- ADJUSTED ----    % CHANGE
# 	TEAM	W 	L 	 PCT	 W 	 L 	PCT    FROM REAL 	
-	---- 	--	--	 ---	---	---	---	------
1	HOU	24	21	.533	26.7	18.3	.593	+5.9% 
2	LAL	35	11	.761	37.2	8.8	.809	+4.8% 
3	TOR	25	22	.532	27.2	19.8	.579	+4.7% 
4	ATL	29	15	.659	30.8	13.2	.699	+4.0% 
5	OKC	24	21	.533	25.8	19.2	.573	+3.9% 
6	ORL	30	16	.652	31.7	14.3	.689	+3.7% 
7	MIA	23	22	.511	24.5	20.5	.543	+3.2% 
8	CLE	36	11	.766	37.3	9.7	.794	+2.8% 
9	MEM	25	19	.568	26.1	17.9	.594	+2.6% 
10	DAL	30	16	.652	31.1	14.9	.677	+2.5% 
11	PHX	27	21	.563	28.2	19.8	.586	+2.4% 
12	CHI	22	22	.500	22.6	21.4	.513	+1.3% 
13	UTA	27	18	.600	27.3	17.7	.607	+0.7% 
14	DEN	31	14	.689	31.2	13.8	.693	+0.5% 
15	CHA	22	22	.500	21.7	22.3	.494	-0.6%
16	SAS	26	18	.591	25.7	18.3	.583	-0.8%
17	DET	15	29	.341	14.6	29.4	.332	-0.9%
18	LAC	20	25	.444	19.4	25.6	.432	-1.2%
19	BOS	29	14	.674	28.4	14.6	.661	-1.3%
20	SAC	16	28	.364	15.4	28.6	.350	-1.3%
21	NJN	4	40	.091	3.4	40.6	.077	-1.4%
22	NOK	25	20	.556	24.4	20.6	.541	-1.4%
23	WAS	14	30	.318	13.2	30.8	.301	-1.8%
24	POR	27	20	.574	26.1	20.9	.556	-1.9%
25	MIN	9	38	.191	7.8	39.2	.167	-2.5%
26	MIL	19	25	.432	17.5	26.5	.398	-3.4%
27	PHI	15	30	.333	13.1	31.9	.292	-4.2%
28	GSW	13	31	.295	11.1	32.9	.253	-4.3%
29	NYK	18	27	.400	15.9	29.1	.354	-4.6%
30	IND	16	30	.348	12.6	33.4	.274	-7.4%
-	---- 	--	--	 ---	---	---	---	------
# 	TEAM	W 	L 	 PCT	 W 	 L 	PCT    FROM REAL 	
	 	-----  REAL  -----	 ---- ADJUSTED ----    % CHANGE
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