Box Score
BasketballAn objective approach to basketball analysis through the simplicity of the "Box Score" TM |
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Projected Final Standings:Note: We use the term "Projected" as opposed to "Predicted" because the win totals estimated for each team only take into effect the statistics mentioned below. After going over these projections, we suggest you include other factors (injuries & trades) when making your predictions for the end of the season.Projected Final Standings combines: 1) ARH Strength of Schedule Adjusted Road-Home Strength of Schedule (of games played). ARHSS is similar to averaging all of a team's opponent's winning percentages. But instead we take that specific opponent winning % for home or road games, depending if the game was played at home or on the road for such an opponent. We also remove the opponent's wins and losses against that paticular team, so only the opponent's games against the rest of the league are considered 2) Adjusted Win-Loss record Wins and Losses are adjusted based on level of opponent. If the Pacers and Bucks were each 30-25, for example (arbitrary), but the Bucks played more games a) against tougher teams and b) on the road than the Pacers, then they would have an adjustment that would give them a better record 3) Current win-loss record EASTERN Conference [Atlantic, Central, Southeast Divisions] WESTERN Conference [Northwest, Pacific, Southwest Divisions] Playoff Seeding See how playoff bracket may look As of FRI JAN 29 2010 AM EASTERN Conference: recall Seeds 1-4 are division winners & next best team, seeded by WL%. BoxScoreBasketball.com Current Season Projected Record 82 Game NBA Standings W L GB pace diff W L -- -- ---- ----- --- --- --- 1 CLE 63.9 18.1 | 62.8 +1.1 | 36 11 2 ORL 56.6 25.4 7.3 | 53.5 +3.2 | 30 16 3 ATL 56.3 25.7 7.7 | 54.0 +2.2 | 29 15 4 BOS 51.7 30.3 12.2 | 55.3 -3.6 | 29 14 5 TOR 49.4 32.6 14.6 | 43.6 +5.7 | 25 22 6 MIA 46.6 35.4 17.3 | 41.9 +4.7 | 23 22 7 CHI 42.8 39.2 21.1 | 41.0 +1.8 | 22 22 8 CHA 40.5 41.5 23.4 | 41.0 -0.5 | 22 22 9 MIL 33.0 49.0 31.0 | 35.4 -2.5 | 19 25 10 DET 28.8 53.2 35.1 | 28.0 +0.9 | 15 29 11 NYK 28.2 53.8 35.7 | 32.8 -4.6 | 18 27 12 WAS 24.8 57.2 39.1 | 26.1 -1.3 | 14 30 13 PHI 22.6 59.4 41.4 | 27.3 -4.8 | 15 30 14 IND 21.4 60.6 42.5 | 28.5 -7.1 | 16 30 15 NJN 10.2 71.8 53.8 | 7.5 +2.7 | 4 40 82GM pace = real pace based on current winning % for 82 game season diff = difference between 82GM pace and projected If diff is negative = team had easy schedule so far; expect tough remaining games If diff is positive = team had tough schedule so far; expect easier remaining gamesWESTERN Conference: recall Seeds 1-4 are division winners & next best team, seeded by WL%. BoxScoreBasketball.com Current Season Projected Record 82 Game NBA Standings W L GB pace diff W L -- -- ---- ----- --- --- --- 1 LAL 62.7 19.3 | 62.4 +0.3 | 35 11 2 DAL 55.1 26.9 7.5 | 53.5 +1.6 | 30 16 3 DEN 53.1 28.9 9.5 | 56.5 -3.4 | 31 14 4 HOU 50.6 31.4 12.1 | 43.7 +6.8 | 24 21 5 UTA 48.2 33.8 14.5 | 49.2 -1.0 | 27 18 6 OKC 48.1 33.9 14.5 | 43.7 +4.4 | 24 21 7 MEM 48.1 33.9 14.5 | 46.6 +1.5 | 25 19 8 PHX 47.8 34.2 14.9 | 46.1 +1.7 | 27 21 9 SAS 44.1 37.9 18.5 | 48.5 -4.3 | 26 18 10 POR 42.8 39.2 19.8 | 47.1 -4.3 | 27 20 11 NOK 42.0 40.0 20.7 | 45.6 -3.6 | 25 20 12 LAC 35.1 46.9 27.5 | 36.4 -1.3 | 20 25 13 SAC 29.8 52.2 32.8 | 29.8 +0.0 | 16 28 14 GSW 21.0 61.0 41.6 | 24.2 -3.2 | 13 31 15 MIN 15.9 66.1 46.8 | 15.7 +0.2 | 9 38 82GM pace = real pace based on current winning % for 82 game season diff = difference between 82GM pace and projected If diff is negative = team had easy schedule so far; expect tough remaining games If diff is positive = team had tough schedule so far; expect easier remaining gamesPlayoff Seedings: Projected Seedings for Playoffs EASTERN CONFERENCE WESTERN CONFERENCE SEED Team wins SEED Team wins ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 CLE 64 1 LAL 63 2 ORL 57 2 DAL 55 3 ATL 56 3 DEN 53 4 BOS 52 4 HOU 51 5 TOR 49 5 UTA 48 6 MIA 47 6 OKC 48 7 CHI 43 7 MEM 48 8 CHA 41 8 PHX 48 1 vs. 8, 2 vs. 7, 3 vs. 6, 4 vs. 5 EAST BRACKET WEST BRACKET 1 CLE 1 LAL 8 CHA 8 PHX 4 BOS 4 HOU 5 TOR 5 UTA 2 ORL 2 DAL 7 CHI 7 MEM 3 ATL 3 DEN 6 MIA 6 OKC |
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Box Score
Basketball
An objective approach to basketball analysis through the simplicity of the "Box Score" TM
All contents copyright © 2006, 2007, Greg W. Lowe. All rights reserved. |