Box Score Basketball Box Score Basketball
An objective approach to basketball analysis through the simplicity of the "Box Score" TM
Box Score Basketball Back to Current Season Box Score Basketball Back to Home Page Box Score Basketball Back to Previous Page Box Score Basketball

Projected Final Standings: From FEBRUARY 1st 2008 (so you can compare with real final standings)

 Note: We use the term "Projected" as opposed to "Predicted" because the win totals estimated for each team only take into effect the statistics mentioned below. After going over these projections, we suggest you include other factors (injuries & trades) when making your predictions for the end of the season.

Projected Final Standings combines:

1) ARH Strength of Schedule Adjusted Road-Home Strength of Schedule (of games played). ARHSS is similar to averaging all of a team's opponent's winning percentages. But instead we take that specific opponent winning % for home or road games, depending if the game was played at home or on the road for such an opponent. We also remove the opponent's wins and losses against that paticular team, so only the opponent's games against the rest of the league are considered

2) Adjusted Win-Loss record Wins and Losses are adjusted based on level of opponent. If the Pacers and Bucks were each 30-25, for example (arbitrary), but the Bucks played more games a) against tougher teams and b) on the road than the Pacers, then they would have an adjustment that would give them a better record

3) Current win-loss record
EASTERN Conference [Atlantic, Central, Southeast Divisions]
WESTERN Conference [Northwest, Pacific, Southwest Divisions]
Playoff Seeding See how playoff bracket may look

As of FEB 1 2008 AM

 EASTERN Conference: recall Seeds 1-4 are division winners & next best team, seeded by WL%. 
					      BoxScoreBasketball.com
 	      			82GM		Projected Record	  
	      	W	L       pace     diff	 W	 L	GB		
	        --	--      ----	-----	---	---	---	
1	BOS	36	8	67.1	- 3.7	63.4	18.6	
2	DET	33	13	58.8	+ 0.5 	59.3	22.7	4.0
3	ORL	29	18	50.6	+ 3.8 	54.4	27.6	9.0
4	TOR	25	20	45.6	+ 6.2 	51.7	30.3	11.6
5	CLE	25	20	45.6	+ 1.8 	47.3	34.7	16.0
6	WAS	24	20	44.7	- 2.6	42.1	39.9	21.2
7	IND	19	27	33.9	+ 1.7 	35.6	46.4	27.8
8	NJN	19	26	34.6	- 0.7	34.0	48.0	29.4

9	ATL	18	24	35.1	- 2.2	33.0	49.0	30.4
10	PHI	18	28	32.1	+ 0.4 	32.5	49.5	30.9
11	MIL	18	29	31.4	- 0.4	31.0	51.0	32.3
12	CHI	18	27	32.8	- 4.4	28.4	53.6	35.0
13	CHA	18	28	32.1	- 7.1	25.0	57.0	38.4
14	NYK	14	31	25.5	- 1.8	23.7	58.3	39.7
15	MIA	9	35	16.8	- 0.7	16.1	65.9	47.3

82GM pace = real pace based on current winning % for 82 game season
diff = difference between  82GM pace and projected
If diff is negative = team had easy schedule so far; expect tough remaining games
If diff is positive = team had tough schedule so far; expect easier remaining games
WESTERN Conference: recall Seeds 1-4 are division winners & next best team, seeded by WL%. 
					      BoxScoreBasketball.com
 	      			82GM		Projected Record	  
	      	W	L       pace     diff	 W	 L	GB		
	        --	--      ----	-----	---	---	---
1	LAL	28	16	52.2	+ 5.9 	58.0	24.0	
2	DAL	31	14	56.5	+ 1.4 	57.9	24.1	0.1
3	NOK	32	13	58.3	- 2.8	55.5	26.5	2.5
4	PHX	33	14	57.6	- 2.6	55.0	27.0	3.0
5	UTA	28	18	49.9	+ 3.6 	53.5	28.5	4.5
6	POR	26	19	47.4	+ 4.0 	51.3	30.7	6.7
7	GSW	28	19	48.9	+ 1.5 	50.3	31.7	7.7
8	SAS	29	16	52.8	- 3.4	49.4	32.6	8.6

9	DEN	27	18	49.2	- 0.5	48.7	33.3	9.3
10	HOU	25	20	45.6	+ 2.4 	47.9	34.1	10.1
11	SAC	20	24	37.3	+ 2.2 	39.5	42.5	18.6
12	LAC	14	28	27.3	- 2.9	24.5	57.5	33.6
13	MEM	13	33	23.2	+ 0.6 	23.7	58.3	34.3
14	MIN	9	36	16.4	+ 3.1 	19.5	62.5	38.5
15	SEA	11	35	19.6	- 2.0	17.6	64.4	40.4

82GM pace = real pace based on current winning % for 82 game season
diff = difference between  82GM pace and projected
If diff is negative = team had easy schedule so far; expect tough remaining games
If diff is positive = team had tough schedule so far; expect easier remaining games
Playoff Seedings: Projected Seedings for Playoffs
EASTERN CONFERENCE		WESTERN CONFERENCE
SEED	Team 	wins		SEED	Team 	wins
----	---- 	----		----	---- 	----
1	BOS	63		1	LAL	58
2	DET	59		2	DAL	58
3	ORL	54		3	NOK	56
4	TOR	52		4	UTA	53
5	CLE	47		5	PHX	55
6	WAS	42		6	POR	51
7	IND	36		7	GSW	50
8	NJN	34		8	SAS	49

1 vs. 8, 2 vs. 7, 3 vs. 6, 4 vs. 5

	EAST BRACKET 			WEST BRACKET 

1	BOS			1	LAL	
8	NJN			8	SAS	
						
4	TOR			4	UTA	
5	CLE			5	PHX	*
						
2	DET			2	DAL	
7	IND			7	GSW	
						
3	ORL			3	NOK	
6	WAS			6	POR	
						
* home court advantage over #4 seed due to better WL%
Box Score Basketball Back to Current Season Box Score Basketball Back to Home Page Box Score Basketball Back to Previous Page Box Score Basketball
Box Score Basketball An objective approach to basketball analysis through the simplicity of the "Box Score" TM
All contents copyright © 2006, 2007, Greg W. Lowe. All rights reserved.